To say that the US bond market is a bubble looking for a needle is an understatement. What is going to happen is, in our opinion, a virtual certainty. The problem is “when” it will happen. Knowing what is going to happen is not easy – but knowing when is truly impossible. All markets are supported by a confidence level and a collective psychological state of mind. Although this support is substantial it is also very fragile – and could disappear is a flash. All the more reasons to trade short term only – get in, grab a profit and get out. Sleep better at night knowing you only have to worry about your broker stealing your money – we are going to talk about that in our next posting.


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